Marist
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 90.8171Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Mercer ASUN ( 6- 8, 88.5) 9-13 217 A Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.8) 9-15 221 A Binghamton America Eas ( 2-11, 86.5) 9- 6 228 H Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 13-11 307 H Mount St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 85.5) 16- 9 314 A Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 10- 9 321 H Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 17- 6 325 H Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 10-11 328 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 13-12 404 A Stony Brook CAA (10- 5, 92.0) 11-14 411 A Manhattan MAAC ( 4-10, 85.3) 13- 9 418 H Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 14-13 422 A Canisius MAAC ( 3-11, 85.3) 15-13 430 N Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 12- 8 o 502 A Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 12- 8 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Mercer 9-13 -4 1 -- -4.97
217 A Yale 9-15 -6 -7 1.00
221 A Binghamton 9- 6 3 3 0.02
228 H Air Force 13-11 2 1 1.14
307 H Mount St Marys 16- 9 7 7 0.35
314 A Merrimack 10- 9 1 1 0.03
321 H Iona 17- 6 11 8 0.00
325 H Siena 10-11 -1 2 - -2.79
328 A Quinnipiac 13-12 1 2 -1.23
404 A Stony Brook 11-14 -3 -3 -0.44
411 A Manhattan 13- 9 4 4 -0.10
418 H Sacred Heart 14-13 1 1 -0.31
422 A Canisius 15-13 2 4 - -2.10
430 N Sacred Heart 12- 8 o 4 0 ++ 4.06
502 A Siena 12- 8 o 4 -1 ++ 4.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Mercer 9-13 -4 1 -- -4.97 325 H Siena 10-11 -1 2 - -2.79 422 A Canisius 15-13 2 4 - -2.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 N Sacred Heart 12- 8 o 4 0 ++ 4.06 502 A Siena 12- 8 o 4 -1 ++ 4.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mercer ( 6- 8, 88.5) 9-13 -11.43 9.17 1.38 0.95 -4.80
3 A Yale ( 9- 5, 96.8) 9-15 -3.07 17.52 1.38 0.95 -0.81
3 A Binghamton ( 2-11, 86.5) 9- 6 -13.44 7.16 1.38 0.95 16.29
3 H Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 13-11 -8.57 12.03 -1.38 0.95 20.34
3 H Mount St Marys ( 3-10, 85.5) 16- 9 -14.36 6.24 -1.38 0.95 9.28
3 A Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 10- 9 -11.43 9.17 1.38 0.95 20.12
3 H Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 17- 6 -15.64 4.95 -1.38 0.95 6.83
3 H Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 10-11 -9.50 11.10 -1.38 0.95 -5.19
3 A Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 13-12 -12.69 7.91 1.38 0.95 17.71
3 A Stony Brook (10- 5, 92.0) 11-14 -7.89 12.70 1.38 0.95 -3.11
3 A Manhattan ( 4-10, 85.3) 13- 9 -14.56 6.04 1.38 0.95 14.15
3 H Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 14-13 -9.02 11.58 -1.38 0.95 19.47
3 A Canisius ( 3-11, 85.3) 15-13 -14.56 6.04 1.38 0.95 14.14
3 N Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 12- 8 -9.02 11.58 -0.00 0.95 22.10
3 A Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 12- 8 -9.50 11.10 1.38 0.95 23.81
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170.33
|
winning pts = 184.2387 losing points = -13.9054
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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