Pigskingeeks: College Football Playoff (CFP)
division games only

CLAUDE  , 2026
November 02


Who looks pretty good (likely CFP caliber)

1) Miami (8-0) – Strong favorite profile: undefeated, 
high ceiling, minimal “bad-loss” risk.
2) Utah (8-0) – Another undefeated; if they keep winning,
 they should be live for top seeds.
3) UCLA (8-0) – Undefeated and trending strongly; looks
 like a lock-type contender unless they have a major 
“quality win” gap.
4) Indiana (8-1) – Still strong; only one loss, and the
 resume tends to hold up better than teams with 2 losses.
5) Notre Dame (7-1) – 1-loss ND teams often have a path,
 but they’re more “needs help / needs QB-consistency” than 
the undefeated group.
Strong “very likely” tier (assuming no ugly losses coming)

 BYU (7-1)
 Kentucky (7-1)
 Ole Miss (6-2) (not as safe, but could be a conference-
race/quality-win winner)
 Texas Tech (7-1)

On the bubble (most likely to get squeezed out)


    Georgia (7-1) – Big-game teams can still be safe, 
but if that loss was bad, they can drop out quickly.
    BYU (7-1) and Kentucky (7-1) – They’re not doomed, 
but they’ll need good wins to avoid getting leapfrogged.
    Notre Dame (7-1) – If they don’t win a couple of
 marquee games, they can slip past the automatic-champions
 + better résumés.

“Bubble / in danger” (2 losses = needs major help)

    Ohio State (6-2) – Two losses is a tough runway; 
they’re usually only safe if other champions lose or 
their wins are very strong.
    Alabama (6-2) – Similar issue: two losses makes 
them rely heavily on chaos + strong quality wins to the end.
    Texas (6-2) – Two losses means they absolutely 
need to finish strong and win key head-to-head/landmark games.
    Ole Miss (6-2) – Can still make it through conference 
dynamics, but they’re not “safe” right now.
    LSU (6-2) and Tennessee (6-2) – Same story: if they don’
t close with statement wins, they could get squeezed.
    Houston (6-2) , USC (7-2) – Two losses + reputation/resume
 volatility puts them firmly in bubble territory.

My “next” playoff projection (top 4) — best guess from this 
AP snapshot

If things stay roughly on track and no additional bad losses
 happen, my most likely CFP set would be:

    Miami
    Utah
    UCLA
    Indiana (slight edge over ND/Georgia because they sit higher
 with only one loss)

NOV 2, 2026 CHATGPT

After Saturday's games (October 31), I think the 2026 
College Football Playoff race is wide open, particularly
 for the last four spots. Ohio State's loss to USC was
 the biggest development, while Georgia, Utah, Notre Dame
 and Miami strengthened their positions.

Here is my prediction for the 12-team playoff field as of
 November 1. This is my forecast of who ultimately gets in,
 not necessarily the committee's rankings this Tuesday.
My projected 12 playoff teams
My assessment

1. Miami 8–0 Very likely
2. Georgia 7–1 Very likely
3. Utah 8–0 Very likely
4. UCLA 8–0 Very likely
5. Notre Dame 7–1 Strong position
6. Indiana 8–1 Strong position
7. Kentucky 7–1 Strong position
8. Alabama 6–2 Likely, but vulnerable
9. LSU 6–2Likely, but vulnerable
10. BYU 7–1 In contention
11. Texas 6–2 On the edge
12. Boise State 7–1 My pick for the Group of Six spot

This is broadly consistent with current projections, although
 models disagree significantly about Kentucky, LSU, Ohio State
 and the final at-large positions. 

My bubble teams

Ohio State 6–2 Just outside after losing 30–18 to USC
Ole Miss 6–2 Very close; could replace Texas
Wake Forest 7–1 Strong résumé, helped by 51–7 win over Virginia
Texas Tech 7–1 Still alive after beating Arizona
USC 7–2 Big winner Saturday; 
Missouri 6–2 Needs more quality wins
Houston 6–2 Outside looking in